Tornado risk in Central Alabama: Severe storms to hit during Monday commute
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Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms pass through Alabama overnight into Monday morning bringing locally heavy rainfall and frequent lightning. Some storms will be intense after midnight threatening severe wind gusts over 60 miles per hour, large hail, and tornadoes. Check the video for the latest forecast.
The 米兰体育 13 Weather Team has declared an alert day for Monday.
An Alert Day means that we expect dangerous, potentially life-threatening weather in North and Central Alabama.
A tornado watch stretches across Lamar, Marion, Fayette, Walker, Cullman, and Winston counties until 5 a.m. Monday morning.
ALERT DAY: THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON
Warm, muggy air fuels occasional showers and spotty storms through Sunday night, but Alabama's risk of severe weather increases overnight as several waves of heavy storms move in from the west.
For North and Central Alabama, storms moving into the region overnight through Monday morning pose a threat of strong, damaging wind gusts over 60 mph, large hail and tornadoes.
The wind threat appears highest given the setup we have in place.
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Localized flash flooding is possible through early Monday, too. Some isolated spots could get more than three inches of rain in a matter of two hours.
The Weather Prediction Center outlines a limited risk of flooding for the state.
Regardless of whether severe weather materializes in your specific location, these storms will cause significant disruption, especially during the morning commute. Heavy rain and frequent lightning are guaranteed.
Timing:
Storms will move into northwestern Alabama first impacting The Shoals, Decatur, Athens, Huntsville, Russellville, Cullman, Hamilton, Jasper, and Fayette before 7 a.m.
Around Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Shelby County, and into northeastern Alabama, storms will be most intense and potentially cause major morning commute issues between 5 a.m. and 10 a.m.
We expect the worst weather to be ending by noon over east-central Alabama, and then we have much cooler air arriving for Monday night.
AFTER THE STORMS: MONDAY AND TUESDAY
Alabama's weather settles down quickly after Monday's storms, and much cooler air blows into the state behind them.
Temperatures will hold in the upper 60s and lower 70s Monday afternoon with a stiff west-northwest wind. A few leftover showers will be possible under a mostly cloudy sky through sunset.
Tuesday morning will be downright chilly with some North Alabama communities dropping as low as the upper 30s and lower 40s.
We will feel a nice temperature rebound Tuesday afternoon, though. Daytime highs return to the middle 70s, and that is very close to the "normal" for the first few days of April.
ALMOST "HOT" THIS WEEK
The "normal" weather does not last long. We have some of the warmest air of the season so far set to move into Alabama by the middle of the week.
Birmingham's warmest temperature of 2025 so far came on March 28th when the airport thermometer touched 81 degrees.
This week brings much higher temperatures. It may even be warm enough that you call it "hot" for the first time this season.
Some occasional showers and storms will come with that warmth, too. You can look forward to daytime highs in the middle 80s on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday with high humidity a stiff southwest wind occasionally gusting over 25 to 30 mph each afternoon.
IMPACT WEATHER NEXT WEEKEND
This week's unusually warm weather comes at the expense of several stormy days just northwest of Alabama.
A strong ridge parked near the Atlantic Coast sends several waves of stormy weather from Texas to the Ohio Valley on Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday.
American GFS model guidance suggests a band of extremely heavy rain stretching from northeast Texas to Kentucky and Ohio in that four day period.
In Central Alabama, we will see an uptick in the coverage of hit-or-miss storms Saturday, but we will get another widespread wave of heavy storms on Sunday.
The specific timeline and any severe weather threat is too distant for any real detail at this point, but we do expect a round of storms that could impact your normal Sunday routine next weekend.
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