China, Russia, Iran and Cuba all tried to meddle in 2022 US elections, intelligence assessment finds
Foreign government efforts to target the 2022 U.S. midterm elections appeared to grow compared with the 2018 elections, according to a declassified intelligence assessment released Monday, with a 鈥渄iverse and growing group of foreign actors鈥� participating.
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There was no known order from any foreign leader to 鈥渦ndertake a comprehensive, whole-of-government influence campaign鈥� like the one Russia carried out in 2016, according to the report. But the assessment found that China, Russia, Iran and Cuba all tried to meddle in congressional elections in 2022.
The intelligence community assesses with high confidence that China 鈥渢acitly approved efforts to try to influence a handful of midterm races involving members of both U.S. political parties鈥� 鈥� likely as part of a broad series of directives by Chinese Communist Party leaders since 2020 to 鈥渋ntensify efforts to influence U.S. policy and public opinion in China鈥檚 favor.鈥�
China intensified its efforts to heighten sociopolitical divisions, according to the assessment, but still focused more on efforts to support or undermine a small number of specific candidates based on whether Beijing perceived their policy positions to be in its favor. Party leaders 鈥渞epeatedly have instructed officials to focus on Congress because Beijing is convinced that Congress is a locus of anti-China activity,鈥� according to the report.
Still, 鈥淏eijing almost certainly viewed the U.S. midterm elections as an opportunity to portray the U.S. democratic model as chaotic, ineffective, and unrepresentative, and frequently directed [People鈥檚 Republic of China] messaging to highlight U.S. divisions on social issues, such as abortion and gun control.鈥�
U.S. intelligence agencies鈥� conclusion that China has been more active in election influence activities aligns with reports from tech firms. Suspected Chinese operatives have used images made by artificial intelligence to mimic American voters online and provoke discussion on divisive political issues, Microsoft analysts warned in September.
Chinese officials likely had freer rein to conduct influence operations because they believed they were under 鈥渓ess scrutiny during the midterms鈥� and that the risk of any U.S. retaliation was lower than in 2020, the U.S. intelligence report said.
Russia, meanwhile, sought 鈥渢o denigrate the Democratic Party before the midterm elections and undermine confidence in the election, most likely to undermine U.S. support for Ukraine,鈥� the intelligence community assessed, also with high confidence.
The intelligence community found that the Kremlin 鈥渃onducted extensive research and analysis of U.S. audiences,鈥� identifying key demographics, narratives and platforms that it believed would be effective in amplifying Russia鈥檚 message. Among those targeted audiences were 鈥淯.S. constituencies that they believed were more sympathetic to Russia鈥檚 emphasis on 鈥榯raditional values,鈥欌� according to the assessment, which describes the findings as some of the 鈥渕ost explicit reporting to date on Russia鈥檚 U.S.-focused influence operations.鈥�
The assessment also confirms that Russian military officials proposed delaying the Russian withdrawal from the Ukrainian city of Kherson until the day after the 2022 midterms 鈥渢o avoid giving a named U.S. political party a perceived win before the election.鈥�
Russian actors also generally sought to weaken confidence in Western democratic institutions, the assessment found, by 鈥淸casting] aspersions on the integrity of the midterm elections, including by claiming that voting software was vulnerable, Americans expected cheating to undermine the midterm elections, and Democrats were stealing the elections.鈥�
The assessment also detailed Iran鈥檚 influence activities during the midterms, finding that Tehran sought to exploit perceived social divisions and undermine confidence in U.S. democratic institutions 鈥� but that its efforts were limited by competing priorities, including the need to manage internal unrest.
Broadly, intelligence officials found, foreign actors shied away from technically challenging efforts to change literal votes and instead sought to influence U.S. elections by damaging the public perception of the integrity of their results.
The intelligence community also observed that other countries 鈥� including Cuba 鈥� engaged in more narrow efforts to support or undermine specific candidates, apparently predicated on the candidate鈥檚 willingness to advance policies that aligned with that country鈥檚 interest.
The assessment did not study the impact the influence campaigns may have had on the outcome of the 2022 elections.
CNN鈥檚 Sean Lyngaas contributed to this report.