iPhone could triple in price to $3,500 if they鈥檙e made in the US, analyst warns
U.S. President Donald Trump boasted 鈥渏obs and factories will come roaring back鈥� when he unleashed unprecedented tariffs around the world during his 鈥淟iberation Day鈥� address last month.
But there鈥檚 one product the president is particularly eager to produce in the U.S.: iPhones.
鈥淚 have long ago informed Tim Cook of Apple that I expect their iPhone鈥檚 that will be sold in the United States of America will be manufactured and built in the United States, not India, or anyplace else,鈥� Friday morning on Truth Social. 鈥淚f that is not the case, a Tariff of at least 25% must be paid by Apple to the U.S.鈥�
But Dan Ives, global head of technology research at financial services firm Wedbush Securities, told in April that idea is a 鈥渇ictional tale.鈥�
U.S.-made iPhones will likely cost more than three times their current price of around $1,000, Ives said, because of the costs associated with replicating the highly complex production ecosystem that currently exists in Asia.
鈥淵ou build that (supply chain) in the U.S. with a fab in West Virginia and New Jersey. They鈥檒l be $3,500 iPhones,鈥� he said, referring to fabrication plants, or high-tech manufacturing facilities where computer chips that power electronic devices are normally made.
And even then, it would cost Apple about $30 billion and three years to move just 10% of their supply chain to the U.S. to begin with, Ives told CNN. CNN has reached out to Apple for comment regarding Trump鈥檚 Friday remarks.
The making and assembly of smartphone parts shifted to Asia decades ago, as American companies largely focused on software development and product design, which generate much higher profit margins. That move has helped make Apple one of the world鈥檚 most valuable companies and cement itself as a dominant smartphone maker.
Since Trump鈥檚 inauguration in late January, Apple鈥檚 shares have lost more than 14% of their value due to concerns about the impact of tariffs on its sprawling supply chain, which is highly dependent on China and Taiwan. About 90% of Apple鈥檚 iPhone production takes place in China, according to Ives.
鈥淭hat鈥檚 why I think you see what鈥檚 happened to the stock, because no company is more caught up in this tariff front and center in this category five storm than Cupertino and Apple,鈥� he said in April. 鈥淚t鈥檚 an economic Armageddon, but especially for the tech industry.鈥�
The chips that power iPhones are mainly manufactured in Taiwan, while its screen panels are supplied by South Korean companies. Some other components are made in China, and final assembly mostly takes place in the country.
The administration鈥檚 exemption of smartphones and other electronics containing semiconductors from the elevated 鈥渞eciprocal鈥� tariffs on China has spared iPhones from the harshest levies, but Apple still faces a 20% tariff on Chinese goods for the country鈥檚 role in the fentanyl trade. Apple CEO Tim Cook said on the company鈥檚 most recent earnings call that 鈥渢he majority鈥� of iPhones coming into the United States will now be shipped from India, adding that tariffs could add $900 million to Apple鈥檚 costs this quarter.
In February, Apple announced it would invest $500 billion in the U.S. over the next four years as part of its effort to expand production outside China and to avoid Trump鈥檚 tariffs on the country.
Apple has been seeking to diversify its production bases from China to India and Brazil. But Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management, estimates it would be difficult for Apple not to raise iPhone prices if it faces tariffs of 30% or higher.
鈥淎nything below 30, they will probably carry the vast majority of that increase,鈥� he said. 鈥淏ut I think at some point they鈥檙e going to have to start to share it.鈥�